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Doctoral dissertation · 2026

Academic Capacity Variables as Predictors of Research Publication in Mainstream Journals by University Lecturers in South-South Nigeria

This doctoral dissertation examines academic capacity, university research performance and the factors associated with Scopus-indexed publication among lecturers in South-South Nigeria.

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) in Research, Measurement and Evaluation · University of Calabar · August 2026

Research summary

This doctoral research investigated why some university lecturers sustain publication in reputable scholarly journals while others experience difficulty, even when they work within broadly similar academic environments. For this study, “mainstream journals” specifically meant journals indexed in Scopus. The focus was therefore not simply on how many papers lecturers produced, but on the academic capacities and institutional conditions associated with publication in journals whose records can be traced through a recognised bibliographic database.

The study centred on three academic capacities: collaborative practice, research self-efficacy and persistence in publishing. Collaborative practice refers to working with other researchers, sharing expertise and developing research together. Research self-efficacy concerns lecturers’ confidence in carrying out research tasks, including developing a research problem, selecting methods, analysing data and writing manuscripts. Persistence in publishing refers to continuing the publication process after setbacks, including rejection and critical reviewer feedback. The research examined how these capacities relate to one another and to publication outcomes, including whether collaboration may support publication indirectly by strengthening confidence and persistence.

A quantitatively dominant embedded mixed-methods design was used. The research covered 24 eligible universities in South-South Nigeria and a population of 18,392 academic staff who had at least one Scopus-indexed publication. The quantitative phase produced 3,481 usable responses, representing an 85.5% response rate. The qualitative phase involved interviews with 24 lecturers from federal, state and private universities; thematic saturation was reached at the 18th interview. Questionnaire data, traceable Scopus publication records and interview accounts were combined. The analyses included bibliometric assessment, correlation, Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM), mediation analysis, Artificial Neural Network modelling and thematic analysis.

The study also examined how university research performance can be understood beyond raw publication totals. It developed 11 formulas for assessing different aspects of research performance and introduced the University Research Performance Index (URPI), a composite measure intended to give a broader view of institutional performance. Under the URPI, the University of Benin ranked first in South-South Nigeria, followed by the University of Calabar and the University of Port Harcourt; the University of Uyo ranked fourth, while Delta State University, Abraka, was the highest-ranked state university. The rankings differed from what publication totals alone might suggest, illustrating why institutional size, age and research activity can matter when comparing universities.

The structural modelling showed that collaborative practice was associated with research self-efficacy and persistence in publishing, but did not directly predict publication in mainstream journals. Research self-efficacy predicted both persistence and publication, while persistence also predicted publication. The sequential pathway from collaboration through self-efficacy and persistence to publication was statistically significant. The findings suggest that collaboration may be most useful when it helps lecturers develop research skills, confidence and strategies for responding constructively to rejection, rather than simply increasing the number of co-authors or research contacts.

The interviews added context to these results. Lecturers described collaborations that developed through departmental relationships, doctoral programmes, supervisors, conferences and professional networks. They also explained that confidence can differ across research tasks: a lecturer may be comfortable with research design but less confident in advanced analysis, academic writing or responding to reviewers. Productive persistence was described as learning from feedback, revising manuscripts, improving methods and choosing journals carefully, rather than repeatedly submitting an unchanged paper. Participants also identified workload, limited funding, inadequate infrastructure, research culture and access to mentorship and networks as conditions that can affect publication opportunities.

Overall, the dissertation presents research publication as a process shaped by the interaction between academic capacities and institutional circumstances. Publication counts remain useful, but they provide only part of the picture. Supporting publication requires opportunities for meaningful collaboration, research training, mentorship, the development of task-specific research confidence, and persistence grounded in learning and manuscript improvement. These efforts also need to be supported by adequate funding, infrastructure, manageable workloads and protected time for research.

Abstract

The extent to which academic capacity variables predict research publications in mainstream journals was examined among lecturers at public and private universities in South-South Nigeria. The study was guided by 13 purposes, from which 13 research questions and six hypotheses were derived. A quantitatively-dominant embedded mixed-methods design was adopted for the study. The population comprised 18,392 academic staff across 24 universities in South-South Nigeria who had at least one Scopus-indexed publication. An a priori power analysis indicated that a minimum sample of 2,716 participants was required for the quantitative phase; this was increased to 4,074 to account for attrition and non-response. Participants were selected using a multistage sampling procedure involving proportional allocation, proportional stratification, and systematic random sampling, yielding 3,481 usable responses (85.5% response rate). For the qualitative phase, 24 lecturers were selected through purposive and criterion-based sampling, with thematic saturation reached at the 18th interview. Data were collected using the Academic Capacity Variables Questionnaire (ACVQ), the Research Publication Assessment Rubric (RPAR), and a Semi-Structured Interview (SII). A trial test was conducted with 150 lecturers to assess validity and reliability. Exploratory factor loadings ranged from .71 to .88. In contrast, confirmatory factor analysis produced standardised loadings from .68 to .91. Cronbach’s alpha coefficients ranged from .92 to .97. Quantitative data were collected using Google Forms. Qualitative data were obtained through face-to-face and Zoom-based interviews. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, bibliometric analysis, Pearson product–moment correlation, Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) modelling. Qualitative data were transcribed, anonymised, and analysed thematically using MAXQDA. Among others, the findings revealed that Federal universities, especially the University of Benin, the University of Calabar, and the University of Port Harcourt, in that order, led in total Scopus-indexed output, although other universities performed better when productivity was adjusted for institution size or age. Lecturers reported moderate collaborative practice, but high levels of research self-efficacy and persistence in publishing, while their publication output and citation impact were unevenly distributed. Collaborative practice significantly predicted research self-efficacy and persistence in publishing, but not research publication. Research self-efficacy significantly predicted persistence in publishing and research publications. Persistence in publishing also significantly predicted research publication. Collaborative practice, research self-efficacy, and persistence in publishing jointly explained a significant proportion of the variance in research publications in mainstream journals. Qualitative findings revealed that collaboration often began through departmental ties, doctoral networks, conferences, and supervision links. Research self-efficacy varied across different stages of the research process. Persistence in publishing involved revision, time management, and recovery after rejection. Workload, funding, infrastructure, research culture, and networking opportunities influenced research publication outcomes. Research publication in mainstream journals operates through an indirect process in which collaborative practice strengthens research self-efficacy and persistence in publishing. At the same time, institutional conditions influence how these academic capacities translate into publication outcomes. It was recommended, among others, that universities strengthen collaboration structures, mentorship, and research capacity development, while governments and university authorities improve research funding, infrastructure, and protected research time.

Word count: 497 words